
It seems prediction 2 is already gathering pace with Twitter launching Vine. But lets face it, this wasnt a difficult prediction to make.
The rise and rise of video online is supported by enormous investment dating back to 1999 when Victoria Secret crashed web servers streaming a fashion show. That investment gathered pace with flash player 6 in 2004 and YouTube in 2005.
Video casting morphed to Vlogging around the same time and has been a slow burner of emerging talent and content. 2012 was the year it really took off with significant dailyaudiences logging on to individual shows.
So where is this going?
Prediction 3 is taking shape.
We have one major theme from campaign. Big brands are paying big agencies stocked with producers and directors of the TV variety; to pitch programming to TV networks.
However, this is still the traditional model. What is really driving video is the disruption of traditional entertainment broadcasting models and changing advertising models alongside it.
Travel back in time to the 50s and 60s where equipment was expensive and talent was in short supply and programs came in 30 and 60 minutes scheduling.
Investment meant batch buying so pilots tested the water with audiences and advertisers. Then episodes were commissioned to ensure the big upfront investment could be spaced across time to build an audience attractive enough for further sponsors and advertisers.
Scheduling and programming was developed to hold audiences so many later shows would benefit from islands such as News and Primetime. 30 and 60 minutes made this easy and trained audiences where to be and when.
Come back to 2013. Now we have the Canon 5Ds used to shoot our Kettles videos that are accessed through a Facebook app.
Digital production costs mean we can re-purpose the content as illustration for Facebook stories now sitting in YouTube. They will probably appear through Twitters micro-videos soon. But that is the advert.
Modern TV already has audience preference determining next weeks content with X-Factor. The talent is free. But this operates on a traditional network model. Networks are where the disruption will really begin.
IPTV, ipads and appleTV means we can now watch vloggerswhile sitting back on the couch. Good Vloggers are the talent, producer, director, camera operator, lighting, marketer and programmer.
With individual vloggers having subscribers in the tens of thousands and views in the millions. YouTube now has a mentoring program to push the content.
So who pays then? Vloggersalready have advertisers like HP and even the BBC shop. The advertiser buys audiences so they probably dont know who they are advertising with.
The audience is global. The network is your internet connection. The broadcasts are a nice and digestible 10-15 minutes long. Much more suited to the now generation. The programs are accessed when the viewer wants to access it. Programming is still required but scheduling is not.
Rupert Murdochs children will face the same challenges as their father but not in print. Instead it will be in soundand motion. The only limitation is good content made by the consumer, for the consumer, paid for by advertisers by the click.
You dont need broadcasting networks anymore. You dont even need to make the programmes. You just need someone to organise great programming and even that might be taken care of thanks to Genius. Everything else is plug and play.
The development of appleTV should be less about hardware and more the programming of consumer generated episodes.
All belatedly hail the birth of video network broadcasting.
25.01.2013
By Julian Grainger
Most recent headlines
05/01/2027
Worlds first 802.15.4ab-UWB chip verified by Calterah and Rohde & Schwarz to be ...
04/08/2026
Dalet, a leading technology and service provider for media-rich organizations, t...
04/07/2026
April 7 2026, 19:00 (PDT) Detective Conan: Fallen Angel of the Highway Opens in...
01/06/2026
January 6 2026, 05:30 (PST) Dolby Sets the New Standard for Premium Entertainment at CES 2026
Throughout the week, Dolby brings to life the latest innovatio...
02/05/2026
Dalet, a leading technology and service provider for media-rich organizations, t...
01/05/2026
January 5 2026, 18:30 (PST) NBCUniversal's Peacock to Be First Streamer to ...
20/04/2026
Share
Copy link
Facebook
X
Linkedin
Bluesky
Email...
20/04/2026
Blackmagic Design Announces Blackmagic Camera for iOS 3.3 Update
Brie Clayton April 20, 2026
0 Comments
New update adds camera control and monitoring ...
20/04/2026
Maxon Announces Free Tools and Mobile Expansion of ZBrush and Cinema 4D
Brie Clayton April 20, 2026
0 Comments
Cinema 4D brings professional 3D workfl...
20/04/2026
Vizrt AI Keyer kills the green screen and creates virtual scenes in any environm...
20/04/2026
Register now - Market & Audience Department Ask Me Anything (AMA) Session 11 February 2026
Screen Australia Head of Market & Audience Rakel Tansley
Talking to...
20/04/2026
Screen Australia announces funding for 44 documentary projects that reflect a s...
20/04/2026
Screen Australia appoints Tanya Phegan as Narrative Content Head of Development 17 March 2026
Tanya Phegan
Screen Australia has today announced the appointmen...
20/04/2026
Applications Open for Skip Ahead 11 19 March 2026
Past Skip Ahead recipients (L-R): Macfarlane Bros, Rainbow Bop, Lyanna Kea.
Screen Australia and YouTube Aus...
20/04/2026
Screen Australia empowers the next games generation, including new creatives fro...
20/04/2026
Official Co-production Ask Me Anything (AMA) Session 26 March 2026
Image (L-R): Mix Tape, Michele McDonald, Flower & Flour.
Interested in international Co-pro...
20/04/2026
Screen Australia announces Narrative Content funding for 91 projects, including ...
20/04/2026
Production Infrastructure and Capacity Analysis (PICA) pinpoints four key workfo...
20/04/2026
Australians in Film and Screen Australia Announce the 2026 Participants in the T...
20/04/2026
Screen Australia relaunches website with new tools and improved user experience 16 April 2026
Screen Australia relaunches website
Screen Australia has relaun...
20/04/2026
Share
Copy link
Facebook
X
Linkedin
Bluesky
Email...
20/04/2026
Share
Copy link
Facebook
X
Linkedin
Bluesky
Email...
20/04/2026
Share
Copy link
Facebook
X
Linkedin
Bluesky
Email...
20/04/2026
Share
Copy link
Facebook
X
Linkedin
Bluesky
Email...
20/04/2026
Manufacturing is at an inflection point. Across every major industrial economy, ...
20/04/2026
AI agents are transforming how work gets done across all industries, acceleratin...
19/04/2026
Blackmagic Design has announced the ATEM 4 M/E Constellation IP and ATEM 4 M/E Constellation IP Plus, two SMPTE 2110-native live production switchers. The ATEM ...
19/04/2026
Grass Valley is finding the right balance between its hardware heritage with an ...
19/04/2026
Oracle's strategy rests on the foundational strengths of Oracle Cloud Infras...
19/04/2026
Program Productions, the live sports production industry's leading crewer, i...
19/04/2026
At the 2026 NAB Show in Las Vegas, SVG sat down with Joe Scionti, Account Manage...
19/04/2026
At its 2026 NAB Show keynote event, Ross Video came out swinging with one of its...
19/04/2026
Evertz (Booth N817) is set to present new services within its evertz.io platform...
19/04/2026
Evertz (Booth N817) will showcase its IPMX-certified NUCLEUS platform alongside ...
19/04/2026
Evertz (Booth N817) is set to showcase ENX at NAB 2026, a media core platform designed to support hybrid SDI and IP infrastructures in production facilities and...
19/04/2026
Evertz (Booth N817) will introduce Studer VistaVUE Touch at NAB 2026, a control surface designed to integrate audio, video and control workflows within a custom...
19/04/2026
Evertz (Booth N817) will highlight X-CALIBER at NAB 2026, an encoding and decodi...
19/04/2026
Cobalt Digital (Booth N1340) will introduce the blueCORE family of standalone si...
19/04/2026
Chyron and Asport (Booth N2441) will demonstrate an integrated sports video work...
19/04/2026
MediaKind (Booth W1743) provided an update on its Multiview deployments at NAB S...
19/04/2026
Calrec (Booth C6907) and Grass Valley (Booth C2408) announced a long-term broadc...
19/04/2026
Oracle is bringing a multi-partner demonstration of Media over QUIC (MoQ)-based live streaming to NAB Show 2026, showcasing how independent systems from multipl...
19/04/2026
Encompass Digital Media announced an expanded partnership with Oracle Cloud Infr...
19/04/2026
The NAB Show is in full swing, and the SVG and SVG Europe editorial teams are chasing down the hottest stories from all over the Las Vegas Convention Center. He...
19/04/2026
Blackmagic Design has announced the ATEM 4 M/E Constellation IP and ATEM 4 M/E Constellation IP Plus, two SMPTE 2110-native live production switchers. The ATEM ...
19/04/2026
Now available in VST3, AU and AAX formats
Waves have recently released an update that extends their vocal-alignment plug-in's capabilities to all DAWs -...
19/04/2026
Share
Copy link
Facebook
X
Linkedin
Bluesky
Email...
19/04/2026
Share
Copy link
Facebook
X
Linkedin
Bluesky
Email...
19/04/2026
Share
Copy link
Facebook
X
Linkedin
Bluesky
Email...
19/04/2026
Share
Copy link
Facebook
X
Linkedin
Bluesky
Email...