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After a breakneck year of tech world advancements, setbacks and successes, Telenor Group's research arm, Telenor Research, identifies seven tech trends to study up on for 2019. While there is no shortage of staggering high-tech feats identified for the coming year, the notion of responsibility resonates through many of 2019's trends.
The world of technology is constantly on the go. With exciting innovation which we point to for next year in greater scale than ever comes the need for reflection, pragmatism and perspective. We think that the tech pendulum is swinging in that direction in 2019. People are taking a step back and assessing what do these deeper developments in technology and connectivity mean to me, to my family, my community? reflects Bj rn Taale Sandberg, Head of Telenor Research.
In the end, we all want the assurance that technology no matter how many steps ahead of us it might seem can fit into our lives safely, sensibly and positively, he added.
Here are the seven tech trends we see making a big impact in 2019:
Masks, shades and filters have been all the rage on social media and messaging apps. The iPhone X took the idea further with facial recognition, but as the technology makes even more advances, why stop there? Remember Tom Cruise's masks in Mission Impossible? Well, doing this in cyberspace is no longer mission impossible . It's made very much possible by something the tech world has coined deepfake . It's when Deep Learning meets Fake News (or doctored photos and videos, for that matter).
2019 will bring us more deepfake content because a large amount of work is going into algorithms called generative adversarial networks (GANs*). A plethora of variants is emerging, and the systems as a whole are learning a lot faster. It is these algorithms that will enable the creation of deepfake content so advanced that we could have a difficult time differentiating between what's real and what's fake in the digital world. If people had trouble telling fake news posts apart from real news on social media between 2016 and 2018, it's very possible that the boundaries will be blurred even more in 2019.
The world's largest democracy, India, will hold general elections in 2019, while the world's second largest democracy, the US, will begin the lead up to its 2020 presidential campaign. These elections are likely to trigger the production of sophisticated deepfake content made to manipulate and misinform the public. The good news is that they could also trigger intensified development of media forensic tools and techniques to safeguard democratic processes. 2019 will see internet service providers, operators and regulators look seriously into mitigating deepfake content, and widespread public awareness campaigns against deepfake.
In 2017, we predicted that AI ethics would one day be up for discussion. That time has come. The fact that AI will impact nearly every industry and society at large is no longer questionable. As people increasingly tune in to how technology affects their lives, AI is one of those technologies that will receive more public scrutiny in 2019. In the coming year, we will see public and private bodies setting AI governance frameworks and adopting new codes of conduct to ensure that they operate with high ethical standards. This will be done in order to ensure that AI systems are non-discriminatory, transparent, traceable and secure, and that there are always humans in the loop who are accountable for its design, development and adoption. Enabling this, we will also see new venues for AI dialogues happening at all levels of politics, new platforms for education and training in AI, as well as investments in tools and systems that enable ethical AI development**.
High ethical scrutiny may inhibit innovation, some might say, and in the absence of such oversight, most thriving AI ecosystems in the US and China might be able to grow and innovate faster than more regulated regions, such as Europe. Yet, we see AI governance as vital to sustainable innovation and uptake and acceleration of AI in business. In the end, these autonomous systems need to solve problems for people in a secure, robust and reliable way; proactive monitoring and governance structures for ethical use of AI will aim to ensure that.
In 2017, it was all about 5G testing: could a computer a few metres away connect to a signal station running a 5G frequency. In 2018, we saw pioneering uses of 5G like the 5G drone coverage of the Winter Olympics in South Korea. And coming in 2019, we'll see 5G islands emerge across the world as large-scale pilots and trials from Europe to North America and northeast Asia connect selected communities and business networks. Digitising societies has been a buzzword among operators, industry bodies and governments over the past few years, but 2019 will be the first year when communities will experience what this actually means, taking towns like Norway's Kongsberg, a 5G pilot town, as a first example.
Though 2020 is the year that 5G's global standard will release, 2019 will see commercial advances in 5G, which we see in the United States and areas of Asia already. We'll also see some of the first marketing campaigns based on 5G. From the first self-driving, 5G-steered buses to automated fisheries, from 5G-driven TV and fixed broadband to potential applications of 5G-powered remote surgery the 5G floodgates will open in 2019, paving the way for commercial services to hit the market in 2020.
We think 2019 will be the year when industrial IoT customers crack the transition from proof-of-concepts, which we've seen in recent years and months, to large scale commercial deployments in low-power wide-area (LPWA)*** ecosystems. We expect the LPWA ecosystem to bl
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