The video will continue to dominate IP traffic, accounting for 82% in 2021
14/06/2017
In the next five years, digital transformation will continue to have a great impact on the demands and requirements of IP networks. Global IP traffic will be multiplied by three between 2016 and 2021, reaching 3.3 annual Zettabytes in 2021 from the 1.2 Zettabytes per year reported in 2016, representing a rate of 24% year on year increase.
In Spain, the IP traffic will be multiplied by three in this period, reaching 37 annual Exabytes in 2021 - the equivalent in Gigabytes that all movies produced in the world throughout history cross Spanish IP networks every two hours - from the 12 Exabytes annually in 2016 (growth of 23%).
You are the conclusions of the twelfth edition of the annual Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Forecast and Service Adoption 2016-2021.
In 2021, there will be 4,600 million Internet users (58% of the worlds expected population: 7,800 million people according to the UN) from 3,300 million recorded in 2016 (44% of the worlds population). In Spain there will be 36.3 million Internet users in 2021 (79% of the population), from 33.5 billion recorded in 2016 (73% of the population).
By that time there will be 27,100 millions of connected devices (3 for each inhabitant of the planet), 17.100 million recorded in 2016 (2 devices per capita) including machine - machine (M2M) connections. In Spain there will be 345 billion devices connected in 2021 (7 connections per capita), from 196 million recorded in 2016 (4 connections per capita).
M2M connections will represent more than half of the total number of connections on a global scale and generate 5% of the total number of IP traffic in 2021. Advances in segments of the Internet of Things (IoT) as connected home, connected transportation / intelligent vehicles, connected health, and other new generation M2M services are driving this exponential growth, multiply by 2.4 from 5.800 billion recorded in 2016 to 13,700 million planned for 2021.
With the proliferation of connected applications as drivers of health, medication clinics and early assistance devices, connected health segment will be faster growth (30% year on year increase), followed by connected transport and applications connected City (29% each) on a global scale.
Video traffic
The video will continue to dominate IP traffic, accounting for 82% in 2021 (79% in Spain), from 73% (64% in Spain) in 2016. Globally, there will be nearly 1,900 million users of video on the Internet (excluding mobiles only) in 2021, from 1,400 million in 2016. 2021 3 billion minutes of online video per month globally, will consume five million monthly video years or a million minutes of video every second. In Spain, the video will represent 77% of all Internet traffic in 2021 (60% in 2016) and in 2021 will consume 46 million minutes of video on the Internet each month.
The live video on the Internet will be multiplied by 15 reaching 13% of all online video traffic in 2021 (80% of total Internet traffic), which means greater use of TV in streaming applications and personal videos on streaming on social networks. Although the live video streaming will represent the busiest segment of entertainment, virtual reality and augmented reality also grow apace, multiply by 20 to 2021 and assuming 1% of the total traffic of entertainment.
Globally, the average fixed broadband speed will be multiplied almost by two between 2016 and 2021, from the 27.5 Mbps up to 53 Mbps. In Spain, the average fixed broadband speed will be multiplied almost by two between 2016 and 2021, from 38 to 65 Mbps.
In 2021, more than half (56%) of flat TVs connected to global scale will be high definition (4K), from 15% in 2016. On the other hand, 663 million flat TVs have 4k connected installed / (85 million in 2016) service on a global scale.
In Spain it will be 9 million flat TVs 4k connected installed / in service (57% of the total), opposite the 966.0000 posted in 2016 (12% of the total), representing a 56% increase year on year.
The consumption of Internet video content (both through connections look as mobile) in households is supplanting traditional subscriptions of television cable and conventional TV (known as cord-cutting trend).
Los hogares que siguen esta tendencia generaron en 2016 una media de 117 Gb de tr fico mensual, un 86% m s que los 63 Gb mensuales de un hogar convencional conectado a Internet en 2016. Los hogares conectados convencionales generar n una media mundial de 155 Gb de tr fico de Internet al mes en 2021.
Access to the full report.
LINK: | http://www.panoramaaudiovisual.com/en/2017/06/12/en-2021-trafico-ip-vi... |
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